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The Market Doesn't Like What It Sees From The KCP Limited's (NSE:KCP) Earnings Yet As Shares Tumble 26%
The The KCP Limited (NSE:KCP) share price has softened a substantial 26% over the previous 30 days, handing back much of the gains the stock has made lately. Looking at the bigger picture, even after this poor month the stock is up 69% in the last year.
Following the heavy fall in price, KCP's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 12.4x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in India, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 30x and even P/E's above 55x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.
KCP certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing earnings at a really rapid pace. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Check out our latest analysis for KCP
Although there are no analyst estimates available for KCP, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.How Is KCP's Growth Trending?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the market for P/E ratios like KCP's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 232% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 47% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.
Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 24% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.
In light of this, it's understandable that KCP's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
The Final Word
KCP's P/E looks about as weak as its stock price lately. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've established that KCP maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its recent three-year growth being lower than the wider market forecast, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. Our free balance sheet analysis for KCP with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.
You might be able to find a better investment than KCP. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if KCP might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:KCP
KCP
Engages in the cement, heavy engineering, power generation, and hospitality businesses in India and Vietnam.
Flawless balance sheet with solid track record and pays a dividend.