Stock Analysis

Does Jocil Limited (NSE:JOCIL) Have A Place In Your Dividend Stock Portfolio?

NSEI:JOCIL
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Could Jocil Limited (NSE:JOCIL) be an attractive dividend share to own for the long haul? Investors are often drawn to strong companies with the idea of reinvesting the dividends. Unfortunately, it's common for investors to be enticed in by the seemingly attractive yield, and lose money when the company has to cut its dividend payments.

Investors might not know much about Jocil's dividend prospects, even though it has been paying dividends for the last nine years and offers a 2.1% yield. A low yield is generally a turn-off, but if the prospects for earnings growth were strong, investors might be pleasantly surprised by the long-term results. There are a few simple ways to reduce the risks of buying Jocil for its dividend, and we'll go through these below.

Click the interactive chart for our full dividend analysis

historic-dividend
NSEI:JOCIL Historic Dividend March 31st 2021

Payout ratios

Dividends are usually paid out of company earnings. If a company is paying more than it earns, then the dividend might become unsustainable - hardly an ideal situation. Comparing dividend payments to a company's net profit after tax is a simple way of reality-checking whether a dividend is sustainable. Looking at the data, we can see that 24% of Jocil's profits were paid out as dividends in the last 12 months. Given the low payout ratio, it is hard to envision the dividend coming under threat, barring a catastrophe.

Another important check we do is to see if the free cash flow generated is sufficient to pay the dividend. Unfortunately, while Jocil pays a dividend, it also reported negative free cash flow last year. While there may be a good reason for this, it's not ideal from a dividend perspective.

While the above analysis focuses on dividends relative to a company's earnings, we do note Jocil's strong net cash position, which will let it pay larger dividends for a time, should it choose.

Remember, you can always get a snapshot of Jocil's latest financial position, by checking our visualisation of its financial health.

Dividend Volatility

From the perspective of an income investor who wants to earn dividends for many years, there is not much point buying a stock if its dividend is regularly cut or is not reliable. The first recorded dividend for Jocil, in the last decade, was nine years ago. Although it has been paying a dividend for several years now, the dividend has been cut at least once, and we're cautious about the consistency of its dividend across a full economic cycle. During the past nine-year period, the first annual payment was ₹4.0 in 2012, compared to ₹3.0 last year. The dividend has shrunk at around 3.1% a year during that period. Jocil's dividend has been cut sharply at least once, so it hasn't fallen by 3.1% every year, but this is a decent approximation of the long term change.

A shrinking dividend over a nine-year period is not ideal, and we'd be concerned about investing in a dividend stock that lacks a solid record of growing dividends per share.

Dividend Growth Potential

Given that the dividend has been cut in the past, we need to check if earnings are growing and if that might lead to stronger dividends in the future. Jocil's EPS have fallen by approximately 10% per year during the past five years. With this kind of significant decline, we always wonder what has changed in the business. Dividends are about stability, and Jocil's earnings per share, which support the dividend, have been anything but stable.

Conclusion

When we look at a dividend stock, we need to form a judgement on whether the dividend will grow, if the company is able to maintain it in a wide range of economic circumstances, and if the dividend payout is sustainable. Jocil has a low payout ratio, which we like, although it paid out virtually all of its generated cash. Second, earnings per share have been in decline, and its dividend has been cut at least once in the past. In summary, Jocil has a number of shortcomings that we'd find it hard to get past. Things could change, but we think there are a number of better ideas out there.

Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. For example, we've identified 5 warning signs for Jocil (1 is potentially serious!) that you should be aware of before investing.

We have also put together a list of global stocks with a market capitalisation above $1bn and yielding more 3%.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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