Stock Analysis

JK Lakshmi Cement (NSE:JKLAKSHMI) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

NSEI:JKLAKSHMI
Source: Shutterstock

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that JK Lakshmi Cement Limited (NSE:JKLAKSHMI) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out the opportunities and risks within the IN Basic Materials industry.

What Is JK Lakshmi Cement's Net Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of September 2022, JK Lakshmi Cement had ₹18.4b of debt, up from ₹16.6b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of ₹7.00b, its net debt is less, at about ₹11.4b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:JKLAKSHMI Debt to Equity History November 29th 2022

A Look At JK Lakshmi Cement's Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that JK Lakshmi Cement had liabilities of ₹20.5b due within a year, and liabilities of ₹16.3b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₹7.00b and ₹1.36b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₹28.5b.

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since JK Lakshmi Cement has a market capitalization of ₹79.6b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Looking at its net debt to EBITDA of 1.2 and interest cover of 6.5 times, it seems to us that JK Lakshmi Cement is probably using debt in a pretty reasonable way. So we'd recommend keeping a close eye on the impact financing costs are having on the business. But the bad news is that JK Lakshmi Cement has seen its EBIT plunge 10% in the last twelve months. We think hat kind of performance, if repeated frequently, could well lead to difficulties for the stock. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine JK Lakshmi Cement's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, JK Lakshmi Cement recorded free cash flow worth 52% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

JK Lakshmi Cement's struggle to grow its EBIT had us second guessing its balance sheet strength, but the other data-points we considered were relatively redeeming. But on the bright side, its ability to handle its debt, based on its EBITDA, isn't too shabby at all. We think that JK Lakshmi Cement's debt does make it a bit risky, after considering the aforementioned data points together. Not all risk is bad, as it can boost share price returns if it pays off, but this debt risk is worth keeping in mind. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Be aware that JK Lakshmi Cement is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.