The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Jindal Saw Limited (NSE:JINDALSAW) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Jindal Saw
What Is Jindal Saw's Debt?
As you can see below, Jindal Saw had ₹53.1b of debt at September 2024, down from ₹59.4b a year prior. However, because it has a cash reserve of ₹7.27b, its net debt is less, at about ₹45.8b.
A Look At Jindal Saw's Liabilities
The latest balance sheet data shows that Jindal Saw had liabilities of ₹83.5b due within a year, and liabilities of ₹26.3b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₹7.27b and ₹38.2b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₹64.3b.
While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Jindal Saw has a market capitalization of ₹199.9b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
While Jindal Saw's low debt to EBITDA ratio of 1.3 suggests only modest use of debt, the fact that EBIT only covered the interest expense by 6.5 times last year does give us pause. So we'd recommend keeping a close eye on the impact financing costs are having on the business. On top of that, Jindal Saw grew its EBIT by 51% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Jindal Saw can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, Jindal Saw recorded free cash flow worth 57% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.
Our View
The good news is that Jindal Saw's demonstrated ability to grow its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. And we also thought its net debt to EBITDA was a positive. Taking all this data into account, it seems to us that Jindal Saw takes a pretty sensible approach to debt. While that brings some risk, it can also enhance returns for shareholders. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - Jindal Saw has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:JINDALSAW
Jindal Saw
Engages in the manufacture and supply of iron and steel pipes and pellets in India and internationally.
Solid track record with excellent balance sheet and pays a dividend.