Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Jindal Saw Limited (NSE:JINDALSAW) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Jindal Saw
How Much Debt Does Jindal Saw Carry?
As you can see below, Jindal Saw had ₹46.9b of debt at March 2023, down from ₹57.9b a year prior. On the flip side, it has ₹2.06b in cash leading to net debt of about ₹44.8b.
A Look At Jindal Saw's Liabilities
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Jindal Saw had liabilities of ₹80.4b due within 12 months and liabilities of ₹29.3b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had ₹2.06b in cash and ₹38.4b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₹69.3b.
This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of ₹75.1b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Jindal Saw's use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
Jindal Saw's debt is 2.8 times its EBITDA, and its EBIT cover its interest expense 3.1 times over. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. On the other hand, Jindal Saw grew its EBIT by 29% in the last year. If sustained, this growth should make that debt evaporate like a scarce drinking water during an unnaturally hot summer. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Jindal Saw's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, Jindal Saw produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 75% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.
Our View
Jindal Saw's EBIT growth rate was a real positive on this analysis, as was its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow. Having said that, its interest cover somewhat sensitizes us to potential future risks to the balance sheet. When we consider all the elements mentioned above, it seems to us that Jindal Saw is managing its debt quite well. Having said that, the load is sufficiently heavy that we would recommend any shareholders keep a close eye on it. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Jindal Saw you should be aware of.
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:JINDALSAW
Jindal Saw
Engages in the manufacture and supply of iron and steel pipes and pellets in India and internationally.
Solid track record with excellent balance sheet and pays a dividend.