We Think Jindal Poly Films (NSE:JINDALPOLY) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Jindal Poly Films Limited (NSE:JINDALPOLY) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Jindal Poly Films
What Is Jindal Poly Films's Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Jindal Poly Films had debt of ₹7.62b at the end of March 2021, a reduction from ₹14.3b over a year. However, because it has a cash reserve of ₹6.35b, its net debt is less, at about ₹1.28b.
How Healthy Is Jindal Poly Films' Balance Sheet?
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Jindal Poly Films had liabilities of ₹9.40b falling due within a year, and liabilities of ₹12.4b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₹6.35b as well as receivables valued at ₹4.48b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₹10.9b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
Jindal Poly Films has a market capitalization of ₹38.1b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
Jindal Poly Films's net debt is only 0.12 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 16.3 times over. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. On top of that, Jindal Poly Films grew its EBIT by 65% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Jindal Poly Films will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, Jindal Poly Films recorded free cash flow of 36% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.
Our View
The good news is that Jindal Poly Films's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But, on a more sombre note, we are a little concerned by its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow. Taking all this data into account, it seems to us that Jindal Poly Films takes a pretty sensible approach to debt. While that brings some risk, it can also enhance returns for shareholders. Over time, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, so if you're interested in Jindal Poly Films, you may well want to click here to check an interactive graph of its earnings per share history.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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About NSEI:JINDALPOLY
Jindal Poly Films
Manufactures and sells biaxially oriented polyethylene terephthalate (BOPET) films, and BOPP films in India and internationally.
Established dividend payer with mediocre balance sheet.