Stock Analysis

Greenpanel Industries (NSE:GREENPANEL) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

NSEI:GREENPANEL
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Greenpanel Industries Limited (NSE:GREENPANEL) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Greenpanel Industries

What Is Greenpanel Industries's Net Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of September 2020, Greenpanel Industries had ₹5.32b of debt, up from ₹5.02b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it also had ₹249.3m in cash, and so its net debt is ₹5.07b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:GREENPANEL Debt to Equity History January 28th 2021

How Strong Is Greenpanel Industries' Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Greenpanel Industries had liabilities of ₹2.87b due within a year, and liabilities of ₹4.73b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₹249.3m and ₹893.7m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₹6.46b.

Greenpanel Industries has a market capitalization of ₹20.6b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

While Greenpanel Industries's debt to EBITDA ratio (4.2) suggests that it uses some debt, its interest cover is very weak, at 0.97, suggesting high leverage. In large part that's due to the company's significant depreciation and amortisation charges, which arguably mean its EBITDA is a very generous measure of earnings, and its debt may be more of a burden than it first appears. It seems clear that the cost of borrowing money is negatively impacting returns for shareholders, of late. The good news is that Greenpanel Industries grew its EBIT a smooth 81% over the last twelve months. Like a mother's loving embrace of a newborn that sort of growth builds resilience, putting the company in a stronger position to manage its debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Greenpanel Industries can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, Greenpanel Industries produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 52% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

Based on what we've seen Greenpanel Industries is not finding it easy, given its interest cover, but the other factors we considered give us cause to be optimistic. There's no doubt that its ability to to grow its EBIT is pretty flash. Looking at all this data makes us feel a little cautious about Greenpanel Industries's debt levels. While we appreciate debt can enhance returns on equity, we'd suggest that shareholders keep close watch on its debt levels, lest they increase. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Greenpanel Industries (1 shouldn't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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