Stock Analysis

GOCL Corporation Limited's (NSE:GOCLCORP) Stock Retreats 27% But Revenues Haven't Escaped The Attention Of Investors

NSEI:GOCLCORP
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The GOCL Corporation Limited (NSE:GOCLCORP) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 27%. Still, a bad month hasn't completely ruined the past year with the stock gaining 32%, which is great even in a bull market.

Although its price has dipped substantially, you could still be forgiven for thinking GOCL is a stock not worth researching with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 2.4x, considering almost half the companies in India's Chemicals industry have P/S ratios below 1.4x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

View our latest analysis for GOCL

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:GOCLCORP Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 28th 2024

How Has GOCL Performed Recently?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at GOCL over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for GOCL, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, GOCL would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 4.7%. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 78% overall rise in revenue, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.

Comparing that recent medium-term revenue trajectory with the industry's one-year growth forecast of 12% shows it's noticeably more attractive.

With this in consideration, it's not hard to understand why GOCL's P/S is high relative to its industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting this strong growth to continue and are willing to pay more for the stock.

The Bottom Line On GOCL's P/S

There's still some elevation in GOCL's P/S, even if the same can't be said for its share price recently. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

As we suspected, our examination of GOCL revealed its three-year revenue trends are contributing to its high P/S, given they look better than current industry expectations. At this stage investors feel the potential continued revenue growth in the future is great enough to warrant an inflated P/S. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Plus, you should also learn about these 4 warning signs we've spotted with GOCL (including 1 which is a bit concerning).

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether GOCL is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.