Additional Considerations Required While Assessing Excel Industries' (NSE:EXCELINDUS) Strong Earnings

Excel Industries Limited (NSE:EXCELINDUS) just reported some strong earnings, and the market reacted accordingly with a healthy uplift in the share price. We did some analysis and think that investors are missing some details hidden beneath the profit numbers.

See our latest analysis for Excel Industries

earnings-and-revenue-history
NSEI:EXCELINDUS Earnings and Revenue History November 20th 2024
Advertisement

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

Importantly, our data indicates that Excel Industries' profit received a boost of ₹90m in unusual items, over the last year. We can't deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we'd prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. We ran the numbers on most publicly listed companies worldwide, and it's very common for unusual items to be once-off in nature. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. Assuming those unusual items don't show up again in the current year, we'd thus expect profit to be weaker next year (in the absence of business growth, that is).

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Excel Industries.

Our Take On Excel Industries' Profit Performance

We'd posit that Excel Industries' statutory earnings aren't a clean read on ongoing productivity, due to the large unusual item. Because of this, we think that it may be that Excel Industries' statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. The silver lining is that its EPS growth over the last year has been really wonderful, even if it's not a perfect measure. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Excel Industries at this point in time. Be aware that Excel Industries is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis and 1 of those doesn't sit too well with us...

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Excel Industries' profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Excel Industries might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

Access Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NSEI:EXCELINDUS

Excel Industries

Engages in manufactures and sells chemicals, and environmental and biotech products and services in India and internationally.

Flawless balance sheet second-rate dividend payer.

Advertisement

Weekly Picks

JO
Jolt_Communications
MYSE logo
Jolt_Communications on Myseum ·

The Future of Social Sharing Is Private and People Are Ready

Fair Value:US$7.9577.1% undervalued
16 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
TO
Tokyo
ASML logo
Tokyo on ASML Holding ·

EU#3 - From Philips Management Buyout to Europe’s Biggest Company

Fair Value:€1.31k7.1% undervalued
26 users have followed this narrative
2 users have commented on this narrative
10 users have liked this narrative
YI
BKNG logo
yiannisz on Booking Holdings ·

Booking Holdings: Why Ground-Level Travel Trends Still Favor the Platform Giants

Fair Value:US$5.47k8.5% undervalued
6 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
4 users have liked this narrative
CO
composite32
SHEL logo
composite32 on Shell ·

A fully integrated LNG business seems to be ignored by the market.

Fair Value:UK£36.122.6% undervalued
35 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
9 users have liked this narrative

Updated Narratives

UN
unknown
MRK logo
unknown on Merck ·

The Oncology Anchor: Why Merck’s 46% Discount Defies the Keytruda Cliff

Fair Value:US$201.5645.3% undervalued
1 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
UN
unknown
PLTR logo
unknown on Palantir Technologies ·

The Architect of Sovereignty: Palantir’s Premium Paradox at $149

Fair Value:US$115.6226.8% overvalued
1 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative
DM
DMXS
BYLOT logo
DMXS on Bally's Intralot ·

BYLOT: Re-Rating Potential Tempered by UK Tax Drag and Speculative-Grade Debt Dynamics – Neutral (Hold)

Fair Value:€12.6% overvalued
1 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
0 users have liked this narrative

Popular Narratives

OO
NEO logo
OOO97 on Neo Performance Materials ·

Undervalued Key Player in Magnets/Rare Earth

Fair Value:CA$25.3324.4% undervalued
70 users have followed this narrative
0 users have commented on this narrative
19 users have liked this narrative
AN
AnalystConsensusTarget
NVDA logo
AnalystConsensusTarget on NVIDIA ·

NVDA: Expanding AI Demand Will Drive Major Data Center Investments Through 2026

Fair Value:US$253.0224.5% undervalued
1044 users have followed this narrative
6 users have commented on this narrative
31 users have liked this narrative
WE
WealthAP
GOOGL logo
WealthAP on Alphabet ·

The "Easy Money" Is Gone: Why Alphabet Is Now a "Show Me" Story

Fair Value:US$386.4312.5% undervalued
49 users have followed this narrative
1 users have commented on this narrative
13 users have liked this narrative

Trending Discussion

JA
jayhcee
MPAA logo
jayhcee on Motorcar Parts of America ·

MPAA often has inventory and core-related timing issues. While this quarter’s problems may ease, similar issues have recurred historically and can persist for several quarters. It's not a one-off, it's a structural part of their business. Core returns are simply estimates: How many customers will actually return the original part; how quickly they'll do so; how many are useable; what they're worth, etc. MPAA predicts X sales in a quarter and Y core returns and its reserves, inventory values, etc. are based on that. If they expect a 90% core return rate and only 80% come back it doesn't change cash but they have to write down inventory and increase cost of goods sold which impacts EPS. They've also cited inventory buildup at key customers multiple times in the past. The assumption the latest backlog will all shift into future quarters this year with no impact on pricing, etc. seems more like wishful thinking. Retailer X was slated to buy $10m in parts this quarter but finds they have a lot more inventory on hand than they anticipated so they pushed the order. Realistically there are likely to be SKU cuts, reduction in safety stock on others, etc. Assuming that all $10m will come in this year plus the regular replenishment seems pretty unrealistic. MPAA also has a shaky track record when it comes to new lines and the supposed impact on business. If you look at the EV testing solutions hype back around 2020 that was supposed to diversify them beyond traditional reman and be a higher margin business that would grow with EV adoption. But it has never turned into a material contributor. The debt reduction and stock buy backs are meaningful but IMHO this narrative takes a very optimistic view of things.

0
|
0
Advertisement