Optimistic Investors Push Dynemic Products Limited (NSE:DYNPRO) Shares Up 37% But Growth Is Lacking
Dynemic Products Limited (NSE:DYNPRO) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 37% after a shaky period beforehand. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 30% in the last year.
Even after such a large jump in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Dynemic Products' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.5x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Chemicals industry in India, where the median P/S ratio is around 1.7x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.
See our latest analysis for Dynemic Products
What Does Dynemic Products' P/S Mean For Shareholders?
For example, consider that Dynemic Products' financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. It might be that many expect the company to put the disappointing revenue performance behind them over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from falling. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Dynemic Products, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Dynemic Products would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 4.0% decrease to the company's top line. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow revenue by an impressive 38% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 14% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.
In light of this, it's curious that Dynemic Products' P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. They may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.
The Final Word
Dynemic Products' stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
Our examination of Dynemic Products revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't resulting in a lower P/S as per our expectations, given they look worse than current industry outlook. When we see weak revenue with slower than industry growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, bringing the P/S back in line with expectations. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, it's hard to accept the current share price as fair value.
Plus, you should also learn about these 5 warning signs we've spotted with Dynemic Products (including 2 which can't be ignored).
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About NSEI:DYNPRO
Dynemic Products
Engages in the manufacture and sale of dyes and dye intermediates in India.
Proven track record low.