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We Think Century Textiles and Industries (NSE:CENTURYTEX) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Century Textiles and Industries Limited (NSE:CENTURYTEX) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Century Textiles and Industries
How Much Debt Does Century Textiles and Industries Carry?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Century Textiles and Industries had ₹13.7b of debt in September 2022, down from ₹14.9b, one year before. On the flip side, it has ₹2.35b in cash leading to net debt of about ₹11.4b.
A Look At Century Textiles and Industries' Liabilities
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Century Textiles and Industries had liabilities of ₹35.3b due within 12 months and liabilities of ₹7.97b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₹2.35b as well as receivables valued at ₹2.09b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₹38.8b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
This deficit isn't so bad because Century Textiles and Industries is worth ₹75.1b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
We'd say that Century Textiles and Industries's moderate net debt to EBITDA ratio ( being 2.1), indicates prudence when it comes to debt. And its commanding EBIT of 12.9 times its interest expense, implies the debt load is as light as a peacock feather. It is well worth noting that Century Textiles and Industries's EBIT shot up like bamboo after rain, gaining 82% in the last twelve months. That'll make it easier to manage its debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Century Textiles and Industries will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last two years, Century Textiles and Industries reported free cash flow worth 8.5% of its EBIT, which is really quite low. For us, cash conversion that low sparks a little paranoia about is ability to extinguish debt.
Our View
Century Textiles and Industries's interest cover was a real positive on this analysis, as was its EBIT growth rate. Having said that, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow somewhat sensitizes us to potential future risks to the balance sheet. When we consider all the elements mentioned above, it seems to us that Century Textiles and Industries is managing its debt quite well. But a word of caution: we think debt levels are high enough to justify ongoing monitoring. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Century Textiles and Industries you should be aware of, and 1 of them makes us a bit uncomfortable.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:ABREL
Aditya Birla Real Estate
Manufactures and sells textiles, and pulp and paper products in India and internationally.
Reasonable growth potential with acceptable track record.