Stock Analysis

Birla Corporation Limited Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now

NSEI:BIRLACORPN
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Birla Corporation Limited (NSE:BIRLACORPN) missed earnings with its latest first-quarter results, disappointing overly-optimistic forecasters. Results showed a clear earnings miss, with ₹22b revenue coming in 9.1% lower than what the analystsexpected. Statutory earnings per share (EPS) of ₹4.24 missed the mark badly, arriving some 55% below what was expected. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. So we gathered the latest post-earnings forecasts to see what estimates suggest is in store for next year.

Check out our latest analysis for Birla

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NSEI:BIRLACORPN Earnings and Revenue Growth August 12th 2024

Following last week's earnings report, Birla's 14 analysts are forecasting 2025 revenues to be ₹94.2b, approximately in line with the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are forecast to nosedive 21% to ₹40.15 in the same period. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of ₹103.4b and earnings per share (EPS) of ₹80.97 in 2025. From this we can that sentiment has definitely become more bearish after the latest results, leading to lower revenue forecasts and a large cut to earnings per share estimates.

The analysts made no major changes to their price target of ₹1,811, suggesting the downgrades are not expected to have a long-term impact on Birla's valuation. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. There are some variant perceptions on Birla, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at ₹2,016 and the most bearish at ₹1,524 per share. The narrow spread of estimates could suggest that the business' future is relatively easy to value, or thatthe analysts have a strong view on its prospects.

Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry. These estimates imply that revenue is expected to slow, with a forecast annualised decline of 0.4% by the end of 2025. This indicates a significant reduction from annual growth of 8.6% over the last five years. Yet aggregate analyst estimates for other companies in the industry suggest that industry revenues are forecast to decline 6.7% per year. The forecasts do look comparatively optimistic for Birla, since they're expecting it to shrink slower than the industry.

The Bottom Line

The biggest concern is that the analysts reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds could lay ahead for Birla. Unfortunately, they also downgraded their revenue estimates, and our data indicates that is expected to perform better than the wider industry. Even so, earnings per share are more important to the intrinsic value of the business. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Birla going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here..

Plus, you should also learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Birla (including 1 which is a bit concerning) .

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Birla might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.