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Bedmutha Industries Limited's (NSE:BEDMUTHA) 25% Price Boost Is Out Of Tune With Earnings
Bedmutha Industries Limited (NSE:BEDMUTHA) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 25% gain in the last month alone. The last month tops off a massive increase of 249% in the last year.
Following the firm bounce in price, Bedmutha Industries may be sending bearish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 40.8x, since almost half of all companies in India have P/E ratios under 31x and even P/E's lower than 17x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.
Bedmutha Industries certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing earnings at a really rapid pace. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings growth will be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for Bedmutha Industries
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Bedmutha Industries will help you shine a light on its historical performance.How Is Bedmutha Industries' Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Bedmutha Industries would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the market.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 52% last year. Still, EPS has barely risen at all from three years ago in total, which is not ideal. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing earnings over that time.
Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 25% shows it's noticeably less attractive on an annualised basis.
In light of this, it's alarming that Bedmutha Industries' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.
The Final Word
The large bounce in Bedmutha Industries' shares has lifted the company's P/E to a fairly high level. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
We've established that Bedmutha Industries currently trades on a much higher than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider market forecast. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 4 warning signs for Bedmutha Industries (2 are concerning!) that you need to be mindful of.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Bedmutha Industries might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:BEDMUTHA
Bedmutha Industries
Engages in the manufacture and sale of steel wire and wire products in India.
Solid track record with adequate balance sheet.