Stock Analysis

The Price Is Right For APL Apollo Tubes Limited (NSE:APLAPOLLO)

NSEI:APLAPOLLO
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With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 56.6x APL Apollo Tubes Limited (NSE:APLAPOLLO) may be sending very bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in India have P/E ratios under 31x and even P/E's lower than 17x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.

With earnings growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, APL Apollo Tubes has been relatively sluggish. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this lacklustre earnings performance will improve markedly. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

View our latest analysis for APL Apollo Tubes

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:APLAPOLLO Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry May 2nd 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on APL Apollo Tubes.

How Is APL Apollo Tubes' Growth Trending?

APL Apollo Tubes' P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the market.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow earnings per share by a handy 5.1% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 142% overall rise in EPS, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 39% per annum over the next three years. With the market only predicted to deliver 20% per annum, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.

With this information, we can see why APL Apollo Tubes is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

The Key Takeaway

It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

As we suspected, our examination of APL Apollo Tubes' analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 1 warning sign for APL Apollo Tubes that we have uncovered.

You might be able to find a better investment than APL Apollo Tubes. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether APL Apollo Tubes is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.