Stock Analysis

Does APL Apollo Tubes (NSE:APLAPOLLO) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

NSEI:APLAPOLLO
Source: Shutterstock

Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that APL Apollo Tubes Limited (NSE:APLAPOLLO) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

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When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for APL Apollo Tubes

What Is APL Apollo Tubes's Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of March 2023, APL Apollo Tubes had ₹8.73b of debt, up from ₹5.81b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it also had ₹3.52b in cash, and so its net debt is ₹5.20b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:APLAPOLLO Debt to Equity History May 16th 2023

A Look At APL Apollo Tubes' Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that APL Apollo Tubes had liabilities of ₹21.8b due within 12 months and liabilities of ₹6.66b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₹3.52b as well as receivables valued at ₹1.39b due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₹23.5b.

Since publicly traded APL Apollo Tubes shares are worth a total of ₹319.2b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

APL Apollo Tubes's net debt is only 0.49 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 13.9 times over. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. And we also note warmly that APL Apollo Tubes grew its EBIT by 11% last year, making its debt load easier to handle. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if APL Apollo Tubes can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Looking at the most recent three years, APL Apollo Tubes recorded free cash flow of 24% of its EBIT, which is weaker than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

Our View

The good news is that APL Apollo Tubes's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But, on a more sombre note, we are a little concerned by its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow. Looking at all the aforementioned factors together, it strikes us that APL Apollo Tubes can handle its debt fairly comfortably. On the plus side, this leverage can boost shareholder returns, but the potential downside is more risk of loss, so it's worth monitoring the balance sheet. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for APL Apollo Tubes (of which 1 is concerning!) you should know about.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.