Stock Analysis

We Think AksharChem (India) (NSE:AKSHARCHEM) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

NSEI:AKSHARCHEM
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that AksharChem (India) Limited (NSE:AKSHARCHEM) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for AksharChem (India)

What Is AksharChem (India)'s Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2021 AksharChem (India) had debt of ₹147.9m, up from ₹127.6m in one year. However, because it has a cash reserve of ₹32.9m, its net debt is less, at about ₹114.9m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:AKSHARCHEM Debt to Equity History June 13th 2021

How Strong Is AksharChem (India)'s Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that AksharChem (India) had liabilities of ₹602.1m due within 12 months and liabilities of ₹165.6m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₹32.9m and ₹287.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling ₹447.8m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Given AksharChem (India) has a market capitalization of ₹2.81b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

AksharChem (India)'s net debt is only 0.46 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 26.2 times over. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. But the other side of the story is that AksharChem (India) saw its EBIT decline by 8.2% over the last year. That sort of decline, if sustained, will obviously make debt harder to handle. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is AksharChem (India)'s earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, AksharChem (India) saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

We feel some trepidation about AksharChem (India)'s difficulty conversion of EBIT to free cash flow, but we've got positives to focus on, too. To wit both its interest cover and net debt to EBITDA were encouraging signs. Looking at all the angles mentioned above, it does seem to us that AksharChem (India) is a somewhat risky investment as a result of its debt. Not all risk is bad, as it can boost share price returns if it pays off, but this debt risk is worth keeping in mind. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should learn about the 4 warning signs we've spotted with AksharChem (India) (including 1 which is a bit unpleasant) .

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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