Stock Analysis

AksharChem (India) (NSE:AKSHARCHEM) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

NSEI:AKSHARCHEM
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, AksharChem (India) Limited (NSE:AKSHARCHEM) does carry debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for AksharChem (India)

What Is AksharChem (India)'s Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at March 2022 AksharChem (India) had debt of ₹502.7m, up from ₹147.9m in one year. On the flip side, it has ₹20.0m in cash leading to net debt of about ₹482.8m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:AKSHARCHEM Debt to Equity History September 2nd 2022

How Strong Is AksharChem (India)'s Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that AksharChem (India) had liabilities of ₹856.5m due within 12 months and liabilities of ₹406.0m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had ₹20.0m in cash and ₹531.4m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₹711.2m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

AksharChem (India) has a market capitalization of ₹2.50b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

AksharChem (India)'s net debt is sitting at a very reasonable 1.7 times its EBITDA, while its EBIT covered its interest expense just 5.3 times last year. While that doesn't worry us too much, it does suggest the interest payments are somewhat of a burden. Importantly, AksharChem (India)'s EBIT fell a jaw-dropping 26% in the last twelve months. If that earnings trend continues then paying off its debt will be about as easy as herding cats on to a roller coaster. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since AksharChem (India) will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, AksharChem (India) saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

On the face of it, AksharChem (India)'s conversion of EBIT to free cash flow left us tentative about the stock, and its EBIT growth rate was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. Having said that, its ability handle its debt, based on its EBITDA, isn't such a worry. Overall, we think it's fair to say that AksharChem (India) has enough debt that there are some real risks around the balance sheet. If everything goes well that may pay off but the downside of this debt is a greater risk of permanent losses. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example AksharChem (India) has 3 warning signs (and 1 which is potentially serious) we think you should know about.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.