Stock Analysis

Impressive Earnings May Not Tell The Whole Story For Aeroflex Industries (NSE:AEROFLEX)

NSEI:AEROFLEX
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Last week's profit announcement from Aeroflex Industries Limited (NSE:AEROFLEX) was underwhelming for investors, despite headline numbers being robust. We did some digging and found some worrying underlying problems.

See our latest analysis for Aeroflex Industries

earnings-and-revenue-history
NSEI:AEROFLEX Earnings and Revenue History May 13th 2024

Zooming In On Aeroflex Industries' Earnings

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

Aeroflex Industries has an accrual ratio of 0.21 for the year to March 2024. Unfortunately, that means its free cash flow fell significantly short of its reported profits. To wit, it produced free cash flow of ₹64m during the period, falling well short of its reported profit of ₹417.3m. Given that Aeroflex Industries had negative free cash flow in the prior corresponding period, the trailing twelve month resul of ₹64m would seem to be a step in the right direction.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Aeroflex Industries.

Our Take On Aeroflex Industries' Profit Performance

Aeroflex Industries' accrual ratio for the last twelve months signifies cash conversion is less than ideal, which is a negative when it comes to our view of its earnings. Because of this, we think that it may be that Aeroflex Industries' statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. But the good news is that its EPS growth over the last three years has been very impressive. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Aeroflex Industries you should know about.

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Aeroflex Industries' profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Aeroflex Industries is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.