Nilkamal Valuation

Is 523385 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 523385 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
₹1.26k
Fair Value
29.5% overvalued intrinsic discount
2
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: 523385 (₹1628.35) is trading above our estimate of fair value (₹1257.11)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 523385 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 523385?

Key metric: As 523385 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 523385. This is calculated by dividing 523385's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 523385's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio22.5x
Earnings₹1.08b
Market Cap₹24.30b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 523385's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 523385 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average21.9x
533080 Mold-Tek Packaging
27.5x19.5%₹17.1b
28.9xn/a₹19.3b
500187 AGI Greenpac
16.1xn/a₹46.8b
EKC Everest Kanto Cylinder
15x35.6%₹14.9b
523385 Nilkamal
22.5x24.2%₹24.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 523385 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.5x) compared to the peer average (21.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 523385's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the IN Packaging Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
FLEXITUFF Flexituff Ventures International
0.6xn/aUS$13.48m
SMVD SMVD Poly Pack
0.9xn/aUS$1.56m
523315 Purity Flexpack
0.2xn/aUS$27.40k
No more companies available in this PE range
523385 22.5xIndustry Avg. 21.0xNo. of Companies10PE01224364860+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 523385 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.5x) compared to the Indian Packaging industry average (20.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 523385's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

523385 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio22.5x
Fair PE Ratio22.5x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 523385 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.5x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 523385 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current₹1,628.35
₹2,401.00
+47.4%
12.2%₹2,694.00₹2,108.00n/a2
Feb ’26₹1,718.45
₹2,433.50
+41.6%
13.4%₹2,759.00₹2,108.00n/a2
Jan ’26₹1,910.90
₹2,377.50
+24.4%
16.0%₹2,759.00₹1,996.00n/a2
Dec ’25₹1,879.55
₹2,377.50
+26.5%
16.0%₹2,759.00₹1,996.00n/a2
Dec ’24₹2,206.80
₹2,550.50
+15.6%
7.2%₹2,734.00₹2,367.00₹1,879.552
Nov ’24₹2,284.10
₹2,680.50
+17.4%
2.0%₹2,734.00₹2,627.00₹1,944.952
Oct ’24₹2,274.05
₹2,680.50
+17.9%
2.0%₹2,734.00₹2,627.00₹1,901.102
Sep ’24₹2,424.40
₹2,680.50
+10.6%
2.0%₹2,734.00₹2,627.00₹1,866.802
Aug ’24₹2,705.15
₹2,589.50
-4.3%
5.6%₹2,734.00₹2,445.00₹1,900.752
Jul ’24₹2,434.55
₹2,589.50
+6.4%
5.6%₹2,734.00₹2,445.00₹1,998.502
Jun ’24₹2,273.10
₹2,589.50
+13.9%
5.6%₹2,734.00₹2,445.00₹1,804.502
May ’24₹2,055.80
₹2,537.50
+23.4%
11.8%₹2,838.00₹2,237.00₹1,957.502
Apr ’24₹1,751.75
₹2,537.50
+44.9%
11.8%₹2,838.00₹2,237.00₹1,728.902
Mar ’24₹1,813.90
₹2,537.50
+39.9%
11.8%₹2,838.00₹2,237.00₹1,948.502
Feb ’24₹1,867.85
₹2,469.50
+32.2%
14.9%₹2,838.00₹2,101.00₹2,112.152
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 2 Analysts
₹2.40k
Fair Value
32.2% undervalued intrinsic discount
2
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but there are not enough analysts covering the stock to determine statistical confidence in agreement.


Discover undervalued companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/02/21 07:18
End of Day Share Price 2025/02/21 00:00
Earnings2024/12/31
Annual Earnings2024/03/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Nilkamal Limited is covered by 8 analysts. 2 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Girisha SarafAmbit Capital
null nullAnand Rathi Shares and Stock Brokers Limited
Rishab BothraAnand Rathi Shares and Stock Brokers Limited