Hindustan Zinc Valuation

Is 500188 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 500188 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 500188 (₹494.5) is trading above our estimate of fair value (₹297.5)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 500188 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 500188?

Key metric: As 500188 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 500188. This is calculated by dividing 500188's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 500188's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio23.9x
Earnings₹87.38b
Market Cap₹2.09t

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 500188's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 500188 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average43.2x
VEDL Vedanta
14.9x24.2%₹1.7t
GRAVITA Gravita India
53.2x27.1%₹146.8b
500470 Tata Steel
59x60.6%₹1.7t
500228 JSW Steel
45.8x47.6%₹2.3t
500188 Hindustan Zinc
23.9x13.8%₹2.1t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 500188 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.9x) compared to the peer average (43.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 500188's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the IN Metals and Mining Industry?

10 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
590078 Maithan Alloys
3.8xn/aUS$371.32m
526608 Electrotherm (India)
3.6xn/aUS$173.33m
PRAKASHSTL Prakash Steelage
3.8xn/aUS$17.30m
522165 Indsil Hydro Power and Manganese
1.6xn/aUS$16.49m
500188 23.9xIndustry Avg. 24.5xNo. of Companies32PE01632486480+
10 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 500188 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.9x) compared to the Indian Metals and Mining industry average (24.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 500188's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

500188 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio23.9x
Fair PE Ratio42.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 500188 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (23.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (42.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 500188 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current₹494.50
₹423.33
-14.4%
20.0%₹570.00₹305.00n/a12
Nov ’25₹558.80
₹423.33
-24.2%
20.0%₹570.00₹305.00n/a12
Oct ’25₹519.85
₹398.58
-23.3%
26.6%₹610.00₹260.00n/a12
Sep ’25₹500.00
₹398.58
-20.3%
26.6%₹610.00₹260.00n/a12
Aug ’25₹647.55
₹366.50
-43.4%
24.1%₹610.00₹260.00n/a12
Jul ’25₹656.80
₹346.67
-47.2%
14.3%₹452.00₹260.00n/a12
Jun ’25₹687.00
₹336.17
-51.1%
16.0%₹452.00₹260.00n/a12
May ’25₹426.85
₹323.33
-24.3%
12.9%₹390.00₹260.00n/a12
Apr ’25₹306.20
₹277.42
-9.4%
12.1%₹325.00₹215.00n/a12
Mar ’25₹308.90
₹277.42
-10.2%
12.1%₹325.00₹215.00n/a12
Feb ’25₹317.60
₹277.42
-12.7%
12.1%₹325.00₹215.00n/a12
Jan ’25₹318.40
₹269.67
-15.3%
11.9%₹325.00₹215.00n/a12
Dec ’24₹300.55
₹269.67
-10.3%
11.9%₹325.00₹215.00n/a12
Nov ’24₹292.70
₹269.25
-8.0%
12.0%₹325.00₹215.00₹558.8012
Oct ’24₹308.80
₹270.73
-12.3%
14.9%₹348.00₹214.00₹519.8511
Sep ’24₹319.70
₹275.67
-13.8%
16.5%₹383.00₹214.00₹500.0012
Aug ’24₹322.30
₹270.23
-16.2%
17.6%₹383.00₹205.00₹647.5513
Jul ’24₹307.20
₹274.69
-10.6%
17.8%₹383.00₹205.00₹656.8013
Jun ’24₹305.75
₹276.62
-9.5%
16.8%₹383.00₹214.00₹687.0013
May ’24₹314.50
₹276.62
-12.0%
16.8%₹383.00₹214.00₹426.8513
Apr ’24₹293.40
₹298.25
+1.7%
19.7%₹449.00₹225.00₹306.2012
Mar ’24₹311.50
₹301.17
-3.3%
18.7%₹449.00₹235.00₹308.9012
Feb ’24₹332.10
₹299.92
-9.7%
18.8%₹449.00₹235.00₹317.6012
Jan ’24₹322.40
₹292.17
-9.4%
13.7%₹396.00₹235.00₹318.4012
Dec ’23₹307.00
₹290.42
-5.4%
13.8%₹396.00₹235.00₹300.5512
Nov ’23₹283.40
₹294.00
+3.7%
14.0%₹396.00₹235.00₹292.7014

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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