Stock Analysis

We Think Mono Pharmacare (NSE:MONOPHARMA) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

NSEI:MONOPHARMA
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. Importantly, Mono Pharmacare Limited (NSE:MONOPHARMA) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for Mono Pharmacare

How Much Debt Does Mono Pharmacare Carry?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Mono Pharmacare had ₹414.4m in debt in March 2024; about the same as the year before. And it doesn't have much cash, so its net debt is about the same.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:MONOPHARMA Debt to Equity History September 26th 2024

How Healthy Is Mono Pharmacare's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Mono Pharmacare had liabilities of ₹358.2m due within a year, and liabilities of ₹171.7m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₹3.63m as well as receivables valued at ₹363.1m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₹163.2m.

This deficit isn't so bad because Mono Pharmacare is worth ₹710.3m, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Weak interest cover of 2.0 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 6.5 hit our confidence in Mono Pharmacare like a one-two punch to the gut. The debt burden here is substantial. However, it should be some comfort for shareholders to recall that Mono Pharmacare actually grew its EBIT by a hefty 181%, over the last 12 months. If that earnings trend continues it will make its debt load much more manageable in the future. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Mono Pharmacare's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last three years, Mono Pharmacare saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

Mono Pharmacare's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and net debt to EBITDA definitely weigh on it, in our esteem. But its EBIT growth rate tells a very different story, and suggests some resilience. It's also worth noting that Mono Pharmacare is in the Healthcare industry, which is often considered to be quite defensive. We think that Mono Pharmacare's debt does make it a bit risky, after considering the aforementioned data points together. Not all risk is bad, as it can boost share price returns if it pays off, but this debt risk is worth keeping in mind. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Mono Pharmacare .

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.