Stock Analysis

Venky's (India) (NSE:VENKEYS) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

NSEI:VENKEYS
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Venky's (India) Limited (NSE:VENKEYS) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for Venky's (India)

What Is Venky's (India)'s Debt?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Venky's (India) had ₹2.62b in debt in September 2020; about the same as the year before. However, it also had ₹1.79b in cash, and so its net debt is ₹826.7m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:VENKEYS Debt to Equity History March 24th 2021

How Healthy Is Venky's (India)'s Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Venky's (India) had liabilities of ₹6.20b due within 12 months and liabilities of ₹520.4m due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₹1.79b as well as receivables valued at ₹3.88b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total ₹1.05b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Since publicly traded Venky's (India) shares are worth a total of ₹22.2b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

With net debt sitting at just 0.52 times EBITDA, Venky's (India) is arguably pretty conservatively geared. And it boasts interest cover of 9.6 times, which is more than adequate. While Venky's (India) doesn't seem to have gained much on the EBIT line, at least earnings remain stable for now. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Venky's (India)'s earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. In the last three years, Venky's (India) created free cash flow amounting to 19% of its EBIT, an uninspiring performance. That limp level of cash conversion undermines its ability to manage and pay down debt.

Our View

Venky's (India)'s net debt to EBITDA was a real positive on this analysis, as was its interest cover. Having said that, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow somewhat sensitizes us to potential future risks to the balance sheet. When we consider all the elements mentioned above, it seems to us that Venky's (India) is managing its debt quite well. Having said that, the load is sufficiently heavy that we would recommend any shareholders keep a close eye on it. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Venky's (India) that you should be aware of.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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