Stock Analysis

Some Investors May Be Worried About United Breweries' (NSE:UBL) Returns On Capital

NSEI:UBL
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Finding a business that has the potential to grow substantially is not easy, but it is possible if we look at a few key financial metrics. Typically, we'll want to notice a trend of growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and alongside that, an expanding base of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. However, after investigating United Breweries (NSE:UBL), we don't think it's current trends fit the mold of a multi-bagger.

What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?

Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for United Breweries:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.10 = ₹4.1b ÷ (₹63b - ₹23b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2023).

Thus, United Breweries has an ROCE of 10%. In isolation, that's a pretty standard return but against the Beverage industry average of 15%, it's not as good.

View our latest analysis for United Breweries

roce
NSEI:UBL Return on Capital Employed May 17th 2023

Above you can see how the current ROCE for United Breweries compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free report on analyst forecasts for the company.

SWOT Analysis for United Breweries

Strength
  • Currently debt free.
Weakness
  • Earnings declined over the past year.
  • Dividend is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the Beverage market.
  • Expensive based on P/E ratio and estimated fair value.
Opportunity
  • Annual earnings are forecast to grow faster than the Indian market.
Threat
  • Paying a dividend but company has no free cash flows.
  • Annual revenue is forecast to grow slower than the Indian market.

So How Is United Breweries' ROCE Trending?

On the surface, the trend of ROCE at United Breweries doesn't inspire confidence. Over the last five years, returns on capital have decreased to 10% from 22% five years ago. Although, given both revenue and the amount of assets employed in the business have increased, it could suggest the company is investing in growth, and the extra capital has led to a short-term reduction in ROCE. If these investments prove successful, this can bode very well for long term stock performance.

The Bottom Line On United Breweries' ROCE

In summary, despite lower returns in the short term, we're encouraged to see that United Breweries is reinvesting for growth and has higher sales as a result. These trends are starting to be recognized by investors since the stock has delivered a 25% gain to shareholders who've held over the last five years. So this stock may still be an appealing investment opportunity, if other fundamentals prove to be sound.

On a final note, we've found 2 warning signs for United Breweries that we think you should be aware of.

While United Breweries may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.