Stock Analysis

Declining Stock and Decent Financials: Is The Market Wrong About Nath Bio-Genes (India) Limited (NSE:NATHBIOGEN)?

NSEI:NATHBIOGEN
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Nath Bio-Genes (India) (NSE:NATHBIOGEN) has had a rough three months with its share price down 8.9%. However, stock prices are usually driven by a company’s financials over the long term, which in this case look pretty respectable. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Nath Bio-Genes (India)'s ROE today.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors’ money. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

Check out our latest analysis for Nath Bio-Genes (India)

How Is ROE Calculated?

The formula for ROE is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Nath Bio-Genes (India) is:

9.3% = ₹558m ÷ ₹6.0b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2020).

The 'return' is the profit over the last twelve months. That means that for every ₹1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated ₹0.09 in profit.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company’s earnings growth potential. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

Nath Bio-Genes (India)'s Earnings Growth And 9.3% ROE

On the face of it, Nath Bio-Genes (India)'s ROE is not much to talk about. Yet, a closer study shows that the company's ROE is similar to the industry average of 10%. Looking at Nath Bio-Genes (India)'s exceptional 37% five-year net income growth in particular, we are definitely impressed. Taking into consideration that the ROE is not particularly high, we reckon that there could also be other factors at play which could be influencing the company's growth. For instance, the company has a low payout ratio or is being managed efficiently.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Nath Bio-Genes (India)'s growth is quite high when compared to the industry average growth of 19% in the same period, which is great to see.

past-earnings-growth
NSEI:NATHBIOGEN Past Earnings Growth January 20th 2021

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Nath Bio-Genes (India) is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is Nath Bio-Genes (India) Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

Summary

Overall, we feel that Nath Bio-Genes (India) certainly does have some positive factors to consider. Even in spite of the low rate of return, the company has posted impressive earnings growth as a result of reinvesting heavily into its business. While we won't completely dismiss the company, what we would do, is try to ascertain how risky the business is to make a more informed decision around the company. You can see the 1 risk we have identified for Nath Bio-Genes (India) by visiting our risks dashboard for free on our platform here.

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Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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