Stock Analysis

Does K.M. Sugar Mills (NSE:KMSUGAR) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

NSEI:KMSUGAR
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that K.M. Sugar Mills Limited (NSE:KMSUGAR) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for K.M. Sugar Mills

What Is K.M. Sugar Mills's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2021 K.M. Sugar Mills had ₹639.0m of debt, an increase on ₹606.0m, over one year. However, it also had ₹568.4m in cash, and so its net debt is ₹70.6m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:KMSUGAR Debt to Equity History March 4th 2022

How Healthy Is K.M. Sugar Mills' Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that K.M. Sugar Mills had liabilities of ₹763.0m due within a year, and liabilities of ₹480.3m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₹568.4m and ₹23.8m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₹651.1m.

K.M. Sugar Mills has a market capitalization of ₹2.62b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

With net debt at just 0.098 times EBITDA, it seems K.M. Sugar Mills only uses a little bit of leverage. But EBIT was only 6.6 times the interest expense last year, so the borrowing is clearly weighing on the business somewhat. Another good sign is that K.M. Sugar Mills has been able to increase its EBIT by 29% in twelve months, making it easier to pay down debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is K.M. Sugar Mills's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last three years, K.M. Sugar Mills reported free cash flow worth 13% of its EBIT, which is really quite low. That limp level of cash conversion undermines its ability to manage and pay down debt.

Our View

K.M. Sugar Mills's EBIT growth rate suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. But truth be told we feel its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow does undermine this impression a bit. All these things considered, it appears that K.M. Sugar Mills can comfortably handle its current debt levels. On the plus side, this leverage can boost shareholder returns, but the potential downside is more risk of loss, so it's worth monitoring the balance sheet. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for K.M. Sugar Mills you should be aware of.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if K.M. Sugar Mills might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.