Stock Analysis

Declining Stock and Decent Financials: Is The Market Wrong About Globus Spirits Limited (NSE:GLOBUSSPR)?

NSEI:GLOBUSSPR
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With its stock down 11% over the past month, it is easy to disregard Globus Spirits (NSE:GLOBUSSPR). But if you pay close attention, you might find that its key financial indicators look quite decent, which could mean that the stock could potentially rise in the long-term given how markets usually reward more resilient long-term fundamentals. Specifically, we decided to study Globus Spirits' ROE in this article.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

View our latest analysis for Globus Spirits

How Is ROE Calculated?

The formula for ROE is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Globus Spirits is:

14% = ₹1.3b ÷ ₹9.2b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. That means that for every ₹1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated ₹0.14 in profit.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company’s earnings growth potential. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

Globus Spirits' Earnings Growth And 14% ROE

On the face of it, Globus Spirits' ROE is not much to talk about. Yet, a closer study shows that the company's ROE is similar to the industry average of 14%. Looking at Globus Spirits' exceptional 23% five-year net income growth in particular, we are definitely impressed. Given the slightly low ROE, it is likely that there could be some other aspects that are driving this growth. Such as - high earnings retention or an efficient management in place.

Next, on comparing Globus Spirits' net income growth with the industry, we found that the company's reported growth is similar to the industry average growth rate of 28% over the last few years.

past-earnings-growth
NSEI:GLOBUSSPR Past Earnings Growth June 1st 2024

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Globus Spirits is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is Globus Spirits Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

Globus Spirits' ' three-year median payout ratio is on the lower side at 5.1% implying that it is retaining a higher percentage (95%) of its profits. So it looks like Globus Spirits is reinvesting profits heavily to grow its business, which shows in its earnings growth.

Besides, Globus Spirits has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more. This shows that the company is committed to sharing profits with its shareholders.

Conclusion

Overall, we feel that Globus Spirits certainly does have some positive factors to consider. With a high rate of reinvestment, albeit at a low ROE, the company has managed to see a considerable growth in its earnings. While we won't completely dismiss the company, what we would do, is try to ascertain how risky the business is to make a more informed decision around the company. You can see the 1 risk we have identified for Globus Spirits by visiting our risks dashboard for free on our platform here.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.