Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Avadh Sugar & Energy (NSE:AVADHSUGAR) Is Using Debt Extensively

NSEI:AVADHSUGAR
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Avadh Sugar & Energy Limited (NSE:AVADHSUGAR) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Avadh Sugar & Energy

How Much Debt Does Avadh Sugar & Energy Carry?

As you can see below, Avadh Sugar & Energy had ₹12.1b of debt at March 2022, down from ₹13.7b a year prior. And it doesn't have much cash, so its net debt is about the same.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:AVADHSUGAR Debt to Equity History June 18th 2022

How Strong Is Avadh Sugar & Energy's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Avadh Sugar & Energy had liabilities of ₹11.9b due within a year, and liabilities of ₹4.31b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₹30.6m as well as receivables valued at ₹861.9m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling ₹15.3b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of ₹10.3b, we think shareholders really should watch Avadh Sugar & Energy's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Avadh Sugar & Energy has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 4.0 and its EBIT covered its interest expense 2.8 times. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. However, one redeeming factor is that Avadh Sugar & Energy grew its EBIT at 19% over the last 12 months, boosting its ability to handle its debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Avadh Sugar & Energy can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, Avadh Sugar & Energy actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash conversion gets us as excited as the crowd when the beat drops at a Daft Punk concert.

Our View

Neither Avadh Sugar & Energy's ability to handle its total liabilities nor its interest cover gave us confidence in its ability to take on more debt. But the good news is it seems to be able to convert EBIT to free cash flow with ease. When we consider all the factors discussed, it seems to us that Avadh Sugar & Energy is taking some risks with its use of debt. So while that leverage does boost returns on equity, we wouldn't really want to see it increase from here. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Avadh Sugar & Energy (of which 1 shouldn't be ignored!) you should know about.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.