Stock Analysis

We Think Apex Frozen Foods (NSE:APEX) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

NSEI:APEX
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Apex Frozen Foods Limited (NSE:APEX) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Apex Frozen Foods

How Much Debt Does Apex Frozen Foods Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Apex Frozen Foods had ₹905.8m of debt in March 2023, down from ₹1.67b, one year before. However, because it has a cash reserve of ₹104.0m, its net debt is less, at about ₹801.8m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:APEX Debt to Equity History September 6th 2023

How Strong Is Apex Frozen Foods' Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Apex Frozen Foods had liabilities of ₹1.14b due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₹100.9m due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of ₹104.0m and ₹1.15b worth of receivables due within a year. So these liquid assets roughly match the total liabilities.

Having regard to Apex Frozen Foods' size, it seems that its liquid assets are well balanced with its total liabilities. So while it's hard to imagine that the ₹7.62b company is struggling for cash, we still think it's worth monitoring its balance sheet.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

While Apex Frozen Foods's low debt to EBITDA ratio of 1.2 suggests only modest use of debt, the fact that EBIT only covered the interest expense by 3.7 times last year does give us pause. So we'd recommend keeping a close eye on the impact financing costs are having on the business. Shareholders should be aware that Apex Frozen Foods's EBIT was down 33% last year. If that earnings trend continues then paying off its debt will be about as easy as herding cats on to a roller coaster. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Apex Frozen Foods can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, Apex Frozen Foods produced sturdy free cash flow equating to 64% of its EBIT, about what we'd expect. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.

Our View

Based on what we've seen Apex Frozen Foods is not finding it easy, given its EBIT growth rate, but the other factors we considered give us cause to be optimistic. In particular, we thought its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was a positive. When we consider all the factors mentioned above, we do feel a bit cautious about Apex Frozen Foods's use of debt. While we appreciate debt can enhance returns on equity, we'd suggest that shareholders keep close watch on its debt levels, lest they increase. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example Apex Frozen Foods has 4 warning signs (and 1 which is significant) we think you should know about.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Apex Frozen Foods is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.