Stock Analysis

Does Apex Frozen Foods (NSE:APEX) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

NSEI:APEX
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that Apex Frozen Foods Limited (NSE:APEX) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Apex Frozen Foods

What Is Apex Frozen Foods's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Apex Frozen Foods had debt of ₹1.62b at the end of September 2022, a reduction from ₹1.83b over a year. However, because it has a cash reserve of ₹158.8m, its net debt is less, at about ₹1.46b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:APEX Debt to Equity History March 29th 2023

How Strong Is Apex Frozen Foods' Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Apex Frozen Foods had liabilities of ₹1.71b due within 12 months, and liabilities of ₹185.3m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had ₹158.8m in cash and ₹1.50b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling ₹239.9m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Of course, Apex Frozen Foods has a market capitalization of ₹5.82b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Apex Frozen Foods's net debt is sitting at a very reasonable 2.0 times its EBITDA, while its EBIT covered its interest expense just 3.8 times last year. While these numbers do not alarm us, it's worth noting that the cost of the company's debt is having a real impact. Unfortunately, Apex Frozen Foods saw its EBIT slide 9.1% in the last twelve months. If earnings continue on that decline then managing that debt will be difficult like delivering hot soup on a unicycle. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Apex Frozen Foods will need earnings to service that debt. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. In the last three years, Apex Frozen Foods's free cash flow amounted to 32% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That weak cash conversion makes it more difficult to handle indebtedness.

Our View

Both Apex Frozen Foods's EBIT growth rate and its interest cover were discouraging. At least its level of total liabilities gives us reason to be optimistic. Looking at all the angles mentioned above, it does seem to us that Apex Frozen Foods is a somewhat risky investment as a result of its debt. Not all risk is bad, as it can boost share price returns if it pays off, but this debt risk is worth keeping in mind. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Apex Frozen Foods you should be aware of, and 1 of them is significant.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.