Stock Analysis

Slowing Rates Of Return At Selan Exploration Technology (NSE:SELAN) Leave Little Room For Excitement

NSEI:SELAN
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If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for? Typically, we'll want to notice a trend of growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and alongside that, an expanding base of capital employed. If you see this, it typically means it's a company with a great business model and plenty of profitable reinvestment opportunities. Although, when we looked at Selan Exploration Technology (NSE:SELAN), it didn't seem to tick all of these boxes.

Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?

For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Selan Exploration Technology:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.071 = ₹291m ÷ (₹4.3b - ₹187m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2023).

Thus, Selan Exploration Technology has an ROCE of 7.1%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Oil and Gas industry average of 14%.

Check out our latest analysis for Selan Exploration Technology

roce
NSEI:SELAN Return on Capital Employed July 6th 2023

While the past is not representative of the future, it can be helpful to know how a company has performed historically, which is why we have this chart above. If you'd like to look at how Selan Exploration Technology has performed in the past in other metrics, you can view this free graph of past earnings, revenue and cash flow.

SWOT Analysis for Selan Exploration Technology

Strength
  • Earnings growth over the past year exceeded the industry.
  • Currently debt free.
Weakness
  • Dividend is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the Oil and Gas market.
Opportunity
  • Current share price is below our estimate of fair value.
  • Lack of analyst coverage makes it difficult to determine SELAN's earnings prospects.
Threat
  • No apparent threats visible for SELAN.

What The Trend Of ROCE Can Tell Us

Things have been pretty stable at Selan Exploration Technology, with its capital employed and returns on that capital staying somewhat the same for the last five years. It's not uncommon to see this when looking at a mature and stable business that isn't re-investing its earnings because it has likely passed that phase of the business cycle. With that in mind, unless investment picks up again in the future, we wouldn't expect Selan Exploration Technology to be a multi-bagger going forward.

The Key Takeaway

In summary, Selan Exploration Technology isn't compounding its earnings but is generating stable returns on the same amount of capital employed. Since the stock has gained an impressive 94% over the last five years, investors must think there's better things to come. However, unless these underlying trends turn more positive, we wouldn't get our hopes up too high.

Since virtually every company faces some risks, it's worth knowing what they are, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Selan Exploration Technology (of which 1 is a bit concerning!) that you should know about.

If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.