Earnings Miss: Aegis Logistics Limited Missed EPS By 7.7% And Analysts Are Revising Their Forecasts

As you might know, Aegis Logistics Limited (NSE:AEGISLOG) last week released its latest first-quarter, and things did not turn out so great for shareholders. Results look to have been somewhat negative - revenue fell 2.9% short of analyst estimates at ₹17b, and statutory earnings of ₹3.74 per share missed forecasts by 7.7%. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. With this in mind, we've gathered the latest statutory forecasts to see what the analysts are expecting for next year.

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After the latest results, the three analysts covering Aegis Logistics are now predicting revenues of ₹70.8b in 2026. If met, this would reflect a modest 2.6% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are expected to shrink 6.3% to ₹17.70 in the same period. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of ₹74.8b and earnings per share (EPS) of ₹20.90 in 2026. From this we can that sentiment has definitely become more bearish after the latest results, leading to lower revenue forecasts and a real cut to earnings per share estimates.

Check out our latest analysis for Aegis Logistics

Despite the cuts to forecast earnings, there was no real change to the ₹775 price target, showing that the analysts don't think the changes have a meaningful impact on its intrinsic value. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Aegis Logistics at ₹897 per share, while the most bearish prices it at ₹620. As you can see, analysts are not all in agreement on the stock's future, but the range of estimates is still reasonably narrow, which could suggest that the outcome is not totally unpredictable.

Taking a look at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can understand these forecasts is to see how they compare to both past performance and industry growth estimates. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that Aegis Logistics' revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2026 expected to display 3.5% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 11% over the past five years. By way of comparison, the other companies in this industry with analyst coverage are forecast to grow their revenue at 5.3% per year. So it's pretty clear that, while revenue growth is expected to slow down, the wider industry is also expected to grow faster than Aegis Logistics.

The Bottom Line

The biggest concern is that the analysts reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds could lay ahead for Aegis Logistics. Unfortunately, they also downgraded their revenue estimates, and our data indicates underperformance compared to the wider industry. Even so, earnings per share are more important to the intrinsic value of the business. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. We have forecasts for Aegis Logistics going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 1 warning sign for Aegis Logistics that you need to be mindful of.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.