Aegis Logistics Limited Just Beat Earnings Expectations: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

It's been a pretty great week for Aegis Logistics Limited (NSE:AEGISCHEM) shareholders, with its shares surging 16% to ₹755 in the week since its latest yearly results. Revenues ₹72b disappointed slightly, at2.2% below what the analysts had predicted. Profits were a relative bright spot, with statutory per-share earnings of ₹16.22 coming in 11% above what was anticipated. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. We've gathered the most recent statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their earnings models, following these results.

See our latest analysis for Aegis Logistics

Following the latest results, Aegis Logistics' six analysts are now forecasting revenues of ₹92.9b in 2025. This would be a major 28% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to step up 13% to ₹18.40. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of ₹83.4b and earnings per share (EPS) of ₹16.67 in 2025. There has definitely been an improvement in perception after these results, with the analysts noticeably increasing both their earnings and revenue estimates.

It will come as no surprise to learn that the analysts have increased their price target for Aegis Logistics 39% to ₹630on the back of these upgrades. Fixating on a single price target can be unwise though, since the consensus target is effectively the average of analyst price targets. As a result, some investors like to look at the range of estimates to see if there are any diverging opinions on the company's valuation. The most optimistic Aegis Logistics analyst has a price target of ₹870 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at ₹462. Note the wide gap in analyst price targets? This implies to us that there is a fairly broad range of possible scenarios for the underlying business.

One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. It's clear from the latest estimates that Aegis Logistics' rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with the forecast 28% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2025 noticeably faster than its historical growth of 6.3% p.a. over the past five years. Compare this with other companies in the same industry, which are forecast to grow their revenue 5.9% annually. It seems obvious that, while the growth outlook is brighter than the recent past, the analysts also expect Aegis Logistics to grow faster than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The biggest takeaway for us is the consensus earnings per share upgrade, which suggests a clear improvement in sentiment around Aegis Logistics' earnings potential next year. Happily, they also upgraded their revenue estimates, and are forecasting them to grow faster than the wider industry. We note an upgrade to the price target, suggesting that the analysts believes the intrinsic value of the business is likely to improve over time.

Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. We have estimates - from multiple Aegis Logistics analysts - going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.

Plus, you should also learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Aegis Logistics (including 1 which can't be ignored) .

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.