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Does Aakash Exploration Services (NSE:AAKASH) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Aakash Exploration Services Limited (NSE:AAKASH) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
When Is Debt A Problem?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
Check out our latest analysis for Aakash Exploration Services
What Is Aakash Exploration Services's Debt?
The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Aakash Exploration Services had debt of ₹144.4m at the end of March 2021, a reduction from ₹236.7m over a year. However, it also had ₹42.9m in cash, and so its net debt is ₹101.5m.
A Look At Aakash Exploration Services' Liabilities
The latest balance sheet data shows that Aakash Exploration Services had liabilities of ₹154.9m due within a year, and liabilities of ₹87.2m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of ₹42.9m as well as receivables valued at ₹160.9m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₹38.3m.
This state of affairs indicates that Aakash Exploration Services' balance sheet looks quite solid, as its total liabilities are just about equal to its liquid assets. So it's very unlikely that the ₹2.32b company is short on cash, but still worth keeping an eye on the balance sheet.
We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.
While Aakash Exploration Services's low debt to EBITDA ratio of 0.80 suggests only modest use of debt, the fact that EBIT only covered the interest expense by 3.7 times last year does give us pause. But the interest payments are certainly sufficient to have us thinking about how affordable its debt is. Importantly, Aakash Exploration Services's EBIT fell a jaw-dropping 26% in the last twelve months. If that earnings trend continues then paying off its debt will be about as easy as herding cats on to a roller coaster. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Aakash Exploration Services will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, Aakash Exploration Services recorded negative free cash flow, in total. Debt is usually more expensive, and almost always more risky in the hands of a company with negative free cash flow. Shareholders ought to hope for an improvement.
Our View
Aakash Exploration Services's struggle to grow its EBIT had us second guessing its balance sheet strength, but the other data-points we considered were relatively redeeming. For example its net debt to EBITDA was refreshing. When we consider all the factors discussed, it seems to us that Aakash Exploration Services is taking some risks with its use of debt. So while that leverage does boost returns on equity, we wouldn't really want to see it increase from here. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Aakash Exploration Services that you should be aware of before investing here.
If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.
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About NSEI:AAKASH
Aakash Exploration Services
Provides oil and gas field services in India.
Flawless balance sheet with proven track record.