Mangalore Refinery and Petrochemicals Limited

BSE:500109 Stock Report

Market Cap: ₹385.0b

Mangalore Refinery and Petrochemicals Valuation

Is 500109 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 500109 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 500109 (₹219.65) is trading above our estimate of fair value (₹204.9)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 500109 is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 500109?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

500109 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.6x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA5.2x
PEG Ratio-0.4x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 500109's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 500109 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average4.4x
HINDPETRO Hindustan Petroleum
4x-27.5%₹668.3b
500110 Chennai Petroleum
4.3x-42.0%₹135.9b
BPCL Bharat Petroleum
4.5x-40.8%₹1.3t
IOC Indian Oil
4.9x-31.0%₹2.3t
500109 Mangalore Refinery and Petrochemicals
8.8x-23.5%₹385.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 500109 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.8x) compared to the peer average (4.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 500109's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the IN Oil and Gas Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a4.1%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a4.1%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 500109 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.8x) compared to the Indian Oil and Gas industry average (11.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 500109's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

500109 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio8.8x
Fair PE Ratio5.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 500109 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.9x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 500109 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current₹219.65
₹120.50
-45.1%
12.0%₹135.00₹106.00n/a2
Mar ’25₹229.45
₹120.50
-47.5%
12.0%₹135.00₹106.00n/a2
Feb ’25₹179.20
₹110.33
-38.4%
16.9%₹135.00₹90.00n/a3
Jan ’25₹132.70
₹102.00
-23.1%
8.5%₹110.00₹90.00n/a3
Dec ’24₹121.80
₹102.00
-16.3%
8.5%₹110.00₹90.00n/a3
Nov ’24₹103.95
₹89.67
-13.7%
9.6%₹100.00₹79.00n/a3
Aug ’24₹83.57
₹84.00
+0.5%
7.1%₹90.00₹78.00n/a2
Jul ’24₹77.05
₹74.50
-3.3%
6.0%₹79.00₹70.00n/a2
Jun ’24₹65.06
₹66.33
+2.0%
6.8%₹70.00₹60.00n/a3
May ’24₹64.21
₹59.00
-8.1%
10.4%₹66.00₹51.00n/a3
Apr ’24₹52.58
₹64.00
+21.7%
4.4%₹66.00₹60.00n/a3
Mar ’24₹51.36
₹64.00
+24.6%
4.4%₹66.00₹60.00₹229.453
Feb ’24₹55.80
₹63.00
+12.9%
4.8%₹66.00₹60.00₹179.202
Jan ’24₹56.10
₹59.00
+5.2%
1.7%₹60.00₹58.00₹132.702
Dec ’23₹58.20
₹59.00
+1.4%
1.7%₹60.00₹58.00₹121.802
Nov ’23₹54.20
₹74.00
+36.5%
21.6%₹90.00₹58.00₹103.952
Oct ’23₹59.35
₹75.50
+27.2%
19.2%₹90.00₹61.00₹95.512
Sep ’23₹71.40
₹75.50
+5.7%
19.2%₹90.00₹61.00₹96.382
Aug ’23₹73.40
₹75.50
+2.9%
19.2%₹90.00₹61.00₹83.572
Jul ’23₹81.55
₹80.50
-1.3%
11.8%₹90.00₹71.00₹77.052
Jun ’23₹82.75
₹80.50
-2.7%
11.8%₹90.00₹71.00₹65.062
Mar ’23₹40.20
₹63.50
+58.0%
16.5%₹74.00₹53.00₹51.362

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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