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Muthoot Finance Limited (NSE:MUTHOOTFIN) Looks Inexpensive But Perhaps Not Attractive Enough
When close to half the companies in India have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 28x, you may consider Muthoot Finance Limited (NSE:MUTHOOTFIN) as an attractive investment with its 20.6x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.
Recent times have been advantageous for Muthoot Finance as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings performance might be less impressive moving forward. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for Muthoot Finance
Does Growth Match The Low P/E?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as Muthoot Finance's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 38% gain to the company's bottom line. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 60% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 16% per annum as estimated by the analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 19% each year, which is noticeably more attractive.
In light of this, it's understandable that Muthoot Finance's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.
The Final Word
We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that Muthoot Finance maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
You need to take note of risks, for example - Muthoot Finance has 2 warning signs (and 1 which makes us a bit uncomfortable) we think you should know about.
You might be able to find a better investment than Muthoot Finance. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:MUTHOOTFIN
Muthoot Finance
A non-banking financing company, provides gold loans in India.
Solid track record average dividend payer.
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