Stock Analysis

HDFC Asset Management Company Limited Just Beat Revenue Estimates By 11%

NSEI:HDFCAMC
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HDFC Asset Management Company Limited (NSE:HDFCAMC) investors will be delighted, with the company turning in some strong numbers with its latest results. It was a positive result, with revenues and statutory earnings per share (EPS) both performing well. Revenues were 11% higher than the analysts had forecast, at ₹9.5b, while EPS of ₹28.18 beat analyst models by 5.0%. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. With this in mind, we've gathered the latest statutory forecasts to see what the analysts are expecting for next year.

Check out our latest analysis for HDFC Asset Management

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NSEI:HDFCAMC Earnings and Revenue Growth July 17th 2024

Taking into account the latest results, the current consensus from HDFC Asset Management's 15 analysts is for revenues of ₹38.7b in 2025. This would reflect a notable 15% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to expand 11% to ₹108. Yet prior to the latest earnings, the analysts had been anticipated revenues of ₹36.9b and earnings per share (EPS) of ₹103 in 2025. It looks like there's been a modest increase in sentiment following the latest results, withthe analysts becoming a bit more optimistic in their predictions for both revenues and earnings.

With these upgrades, we're not surprised to see that the analysts have lifted their price target 7.1% to ₹4,272per share. There's another way to think about price targets though, and that's to look at the range of price targets put forward by analysts, because a wide range of estimates could suggest a diverse view on possible outcomes for the business. Currently, the most bullish analyst values HDFC Asset Management at ₹4,910 per share, while the most bearish prices it at ₹3,125. This shows there is still a bit of diversity in estimates, but analysts don't appear to be totally split on the stock as though it might be a success or failure situation.

Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry. It's clear from the latest estimates that HDFC Asset Management's rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with the forecast 20% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2025 noticeably faster than its historical growth of 8.3% p.a. over the past five years. Compare this with other companies in the same industry, which are forecast to grow their revenue 13% annually. It seems obvious that, while the growth outlook is brighter than the recent past, the analysts also expect HDFC Asset Management to grow faster than the wider industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing here is that the analysts upgraded their earnings per share estimates, suggesting that there has been a clear increase in optimism towards HDFC Asset Management following these results. Happily, they also upgraded their revenue estimates, and are forecasting them to grow faster than the wider industry. We note an upgrade to the price target, suggesting that the analysts believes the intrinsic value of the business is likely to improve over time.

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for HDFC Asset Management going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here..

Even so, be aware that HDFC Asset Management is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether HDFC Asset Management is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether HDFC Asset Management is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

View the Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com