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Analysts Have Been Trimming Their Juniper Hotels Limited (NSE:JUNIPER) Price Target After Its Latest Report
Last week, you might have seen that Juniper Hotels Limited (NSE:JUNIPER) released its quarterly result to the market. The early response was not positive, with shares down 8.8% to ₹245 in the past week. It was a credible result overall, with revenues of ₹2.3b and statutory earnings per share of ₹3.20 both in line with analyst estimates, showing that Juniper Hotels is executing in line with expectations. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. Readers will be glad to know we've aggregated the latest statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their mind on Juniper Hotels after the latest results.
Taking into account the latest results, the most recent consensus for Juniper Hotels from three analysts is for revenues of ₹10.5b in 2026. If met, it would imply a modest 7.6% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to jump 71% to ₹8.70. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of ₹10.9b and earnings per share (EPS) of ₹7.60 in 2026. Although the analysts have lowered their revenue forecasts, they've also made a nice increase in their earnings per share estimates, which implies there's been something of an uptick in sentiment following the latest results.
See our latest analysis for Juniper Hotels
The consensus price target fell 5.1% to ₹392, with the analysts signalling that the weaker revenue outlook was a more powerful indicator than the upgraded EPS forecasts. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Juniper Hotels at ₹430 per share, while the most bearish prices it at ₹335. Still, with such a tight range of estimates, it suggeststhe analysts have a pretty good idea of what they think the company is worth.
Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. The analysts are definitely expecting Juniper Hotels' growth to accelerate, with the forecast 16% annualised growth to the end of 2026 ranking favourably alongside historical growth of 9.3% per annum over the past year. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to grow their revenue at 22% per year. So it's clear that despite the acceleration in growth, Juniper Hotels is expected to grow meaningfully slower than the industry average.
The Bottom Line
The biggest takeaway for us is the consensus earnings per share upgrade, which suggests a clear improvement in sentiment around Juniper Hotels' earnings potential next year. On the negative side, they also downgraded their revenue estimates, and forecasts imply they will perform worse than the wider industry. Even so, long term profitability is more important for the value creation process. The consensus price target fell measurably, with the analysts seemingly not reassured by the latest results, leading to a lower estimate of Juniper Hotels' future valuation.
With that in mind, we wouldn't be too quick to come to a conclusion on Juniper Hotels. Long-term earnings power is much more important than next year's profits. We have forecasts for Juniper Hotels going out to 2028, and you can see them free on our platform here.
You can also view our analysis of Juniper Hotels' balance sheet, and whether we think Juniper Hotels is carrying too much debt, for free on our platform here.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:JUNIPER
Solid track record with reasonable growth potential.
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