Stock Analysis

We Think That There Are More Issues For Aptech (NSE:APTECHT) Than Just Sluggish Earnings

NSEI:APTECHT
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The latest earnings report from Aptech Limited (NSE:APTECHT ) disappointed investors. We did some digging and think there are some comforting factors lying beneath the statutory profit numbers.

See our latest analysis for Aptech

earnings-and-revenue-history
NSEI:APTECHT Earnings and Revenue History May 10th 2024

A Closer Look At Aptech's Earnings

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

Aptech has an accrual ratio of 0.33 for the year to March 2024. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, raising questions about how useful that profit figure really is. Even though it reported a profit of ₹290.4m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through ₹220m in the last year. We saw that FCF was ₹918m a year ago though, so Aptech has at least been able to generate positive FCF in the past. However, that's not all there is to consider. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio. One positive for Aptech shareholders is that it's accrual ratio was significantly better last year, providing reason to believe that it may return to stronger cash conversion in the future. Shareholders should look for improved cashflow relative to profit in the current year, if that is indeed the case.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Aptech.

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

Aptech's profit suffered from unusual items, which reduced profit by ₹71m in the last twelve months. If this was a non-cash charge, it would have made the accrual ratio better, if cashflow had stayed strong, so it's not great to see in combination with an uninspiring accrual ratio. It's never great to see unusual items costing the company profits, but on the upside, things might improve sooner rather than later. We looked at thousands of listed companies and found that unusual items are very often one-off in nature. And that's hardly a surprise given these line items are considered unusual. Assuming those unusual expenses don't come up again, we'd therefore expect Aptech to produce a higher profit next year, all else being equal.

Our Take On Aptech's Profit Performance

In conclusion, Aptech's accrual ratio suggests that its statutory earnings are not backed by cash flow, even though unusual items weighed on profit. Having considered these factors, we don't think Aptech's statutory profits give an overly harsh view of the business. If you'd like to know more about Aptech as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. For example, Aptech has 4 warning signs (and 1 which is significant) we think you should know about.

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, as a guide to a business. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.