Some Investors May Be Worried About Vardhman Acrylics' (NSE:VARDHACRLC) Returns On Capital
Ignoring the stock price of a company, what are the underlying trends that tell us a business is past the growth phase? Businesses in decline often have two underlying trends, firstly, a declining return on capital employed (ROCE) and a declining base of capital employed. Trends like this ultimately mean the business is reducing its investments and also earning less on what it has invested. On that note, looking into Vardhman Acrylics (NSE:VARDHACRLC), we weren't too upbeat about how things were going.
What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Vardhman Acrylics:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.026 = ₹67m ÷ (₹3.4b - ₹824m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).
So, Vardhman Acrylics has an ROCE of 2.6%. Ultimately, that's a low return and it under-performs the Luxury industry average of 10%.
View our latest analysis for Vardhman Acrylics
While the past is not representative of the future, it can be helpful to know how a company has performed historically, which is why we have this chart above. If you want to delve into the historical earnings, revenue and cash flow of Vardhman Acrylics, check out these free graphs here.
What Does the ROCE Trend For Vardhman Acrylics Tell Us?
The trend of ROCE at Vardhman Acrylics is showing some signs of weakness. To be more specific, today's ROCE was 5.4% five years ago but has since fallen to 2.6%. In addition to that, Vardhman Acrylics is now employing 25% less capital than it was five years ago. The fact that both are shrinking is an indication that the business is going through some tough times. Typically businesses that exhibit these characteristics aren't the ones that tend to multiply over the long term, because statistically speaking, they've already gone through the growth phase of their life cycle.
The Bottom Line On Vardhman Acrylics' ROCE
In short, lower returns and decreasing amounts capital employed in the business doesn't fill us with confidence. Yet despite these poor fundamentals, the stock has gained a huge 204% over the last five years, so investors appear very optimistic. Regardless, we don't feel too comfortable with the fundamentals so we'd be steering clear of this stock for now.
On a final note, we found 4 warning signs for Vardhman Acrylics (1 can't be ignored) you should be aware of.
For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:VARDHACRLC
Vardhman Acrylics
Manufactures and supplies acrylic fibers and tows in India.
Flawless balance sheet slight.