Stock Analysis

Symphony Limited's (NSE:SYMPHONY) Shares Climb 27% But Its Business Is Yet to Catch Up

NSEI:SYMPHONY
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Symphony Limited (NSE:SYMPHONY) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 27% gain in the last month alone. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 67%.

Since its price has surged higher, Symphony may be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 68.1x, since almost half of all companies in India have P/E ratios under 33x and even P/E's lower than 19x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

With earnings growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Symphony has been doing relatively well. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings performance will continue. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Check out our latest analysis for Symphony

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:SYMPHONY Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry August 7th 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Symphony.

Does Growth Match The High P/E?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like Symphony's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 29% gain to the company's bottom line. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 40% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 23% each year as estimated by the nine analysts watching the company. With the market predicted to deliver 21% growth per year, the company is positioned for a comparable earnings result.

In light of this, it's curious that Symphony's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

What We Can Learn From Symphony's P/E?

The strong share price surge has got Symphony's P/E rushing to great heights as well. We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that Symphony currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is only in line with the wider market. When we see an average earnings outlook with market-like growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Symphony that you should be aware of.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.