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More Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For Sonam Limited's (NSE:SONAMLTD) Shares After Tumbling 28%
Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Sonam Limited (NSE:SONAMLTD) share price has dived 28% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. Indeed, the recent drop has reduced its annual gain to a relatively sedate 5.4% over the last twelve months.
In spite of the heavy fall in price, given around half the companies in India have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 24x, you may still consider Sonam as a stock to potentially avoid with its 27.8x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/E.
With earnings growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Sonam has been doing very well. It seems that many are expecting the strong earnings performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors’ willingness to pay up for the stock. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
See our latest analysis for Sonam
What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Sonam would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 43% gain to the company's bottom line. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 88% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably welcomed those medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 25% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is pretty similar based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.
With this information, we find it interesting that Sonam is trading at a high P/E compared to the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly average recent growth rates and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Although, additional gains will be difficult to achieve as a continuation of recent earnings trends would weigh down the share price eventually.
The Final Word
Despite the recent share price weakness, Sonam's P/E remains higher than most other companies. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
We've established that Sonam currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is only in line with the wider market forecast. When we see average earnings with market-like growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Sonam (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) that you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Sonam, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NSEI:SONAMLTD
Sonam
Engages in the manufacture and sale of horological items, clocks, clock movements, and related items in India.
Solid track record with excellent balance sheet.