Stock Analysis

Downgrade: Here's How This Analyst Sees Rajesh Exports Limited (NSE:RAJESHEXPO) Performing In The Near Term

NSEI:RAJESHEXPO
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Market forces rained on the parade of Rajesh Exports Limited (NSE:RAJESHEXPO) shareholders today, when the covering analyst downgraded their forecasts for this year. Revenue and earnings per share (EPS) forecasts were both revised downwards, with the analyst seeing grey clouds on the horizon.

After the downgrade, the single analyst covering Rajesh Exports is now predicting revenues of ₹3.0t in 2025. If met, this would reflect a credible 4.3% improvement in sales compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are presumed to soar 800% to ₹11.67. Prior to this update, the analyst had been forecasting revenues of ₹3.3t and earnings per share (EPS) of ₹29.38 in 2025. It looks like analyst sentiment has declined substantially, with a substantial drop in revenue estimates and a large cut to earnings per share numbers as well.

See our latest analysis for Rajesh Exports

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NSEI:RAJESHEXPO Earnings and Revenue Growth November 30th 2024

Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that Rajesh Exports' revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2025 expected to display 4.3% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 9.9% over the past five years. Compare this against other companies (with analyst forecasts) in the industry, which are in aggregate expected to see revenue growth of 15% annually. So it's pretty clear that, while revenue growth is expected to slow down, the wider industry is also expected to grow faster than Rajesh Exports.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that the analyst cut their earnings per share estimates, expecting a clear decline in business conditions. Unfortunately the analyst also downgraded their revenue estimates, and industry data suggests that Rajesh Exports' revenues are expected to grow slower than the wider market. After a cut like that, investors could be forgiven for thinking the analyst is a lot more bearish on Rajesh Exports, and a few readers might choose to steer clear of the stock.

Even so, the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for the value creation of shareholders. We have analyst estimates for Rajesh Exports going out as far as 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.

Of course, seeing company management invest large sums of money in a stock can be just as useful as knowing whether analysts are downgrading their estimates. So you may also wish to search this free list of stocks with high insider ownership.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.