Page Industries Limited's (NSE:PAGEIND) Price Is Out Of Tune With Earnings

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 72x Page Industries Limited (NSE:PAGEIND) may be sending very bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in India have P/E ratios under 31x and even P/E's lower than 17x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

While the market has experienced earnings growth lately, Page Industries' earnings have gone into reverse gear, which is not great. It might be that many expect the dour earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

See our latest analysis for Page Industries

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Page Industries.

Does Growth Match The High P/E?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as Page Industries' is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 21% decrease to the company's bottom line. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 111% overall rise in EPS, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would probably welcome the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 18% each year as estimated by the analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 20% per year, which is not materially different.

In light of this, it's curious that Page Industries' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly average growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Although, additional gains will be difficult to achieve as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh down the share price eventually.

The Key Takeaway

We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our examination of Page Industries' analyst forecasts revealed that its market-matching earnings outlook isn't impacting its high P/E as much as we would have predicted. When we see an average earnings outlook with market-like growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

Having said that, be aware Page Industries is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis, you should know about.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.