Stock Analysis

Orient Electric Limited Earnings Missed Analyst Estimates: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Now

Published
NSEI:ORIENTELEC

The analysts might have been a bit too bullish on Orient Electric Limited (NSE:ORIENTELEC), given that the company fell short of expectations when it released its quarterly results last week. It wasn't a great result overall - while revenue fell marginally short of analyst estimates at ₹7.5b, statutory earnings missed forecasts by 16%, coming in at just ₹0.67 per share. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. So we collected the latest post-earnings statutory consensus estimates to see what could be in store for next year.

Check out our latest analysis for Orient Electric

NSEI:ORIENTELEC Earnings and Revenue Growth August 6th 2024

Following the latest results, Orient Electric's 15 analysts are now forecasting revenues of ₹32.1b in 2025. This would be a solid 12% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Per-share earnings are expected to bounce 66% to ₹5.43. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of ₹32.4b and earnings per share (EPS) of ₹5.62 in 2025. So it looks like there's been a small decline in overall sentiment after the recent results - there's been no major change to revenue estimates, but the analysts did make a small dip in their earnings per share forecasts.

Despite cutting their earnings forecasts,the analysts have lifted their price target 8.6% to ₹279, suggesting that these impacts are not expected to weigh on the stock's value in the long term. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Orient Electric at ₹316 per share, while the most bearish prices it at ₹224. As you can see, analysts are not all in agreement on the stock's future, but the range of estimates is still reasonably narrow, which could suggest that the outcome is not totally unpredictable.

One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. The analysts are definitely expecting Orient Electric's growth to accelerate, with the forecast 16% annualised growth to the end of 2025 ranking favourably alongside historical growth of 8.8% per annum over the past five years. Compare this with other companies in the same industry, which are forecast to grow their revenue 16% annually. Orient Electric is expected to grow at about the same rate as its industry, so it's not clear that we can draw any conclusions from its growth relative to competitors.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that the analysts downgraded their earnings per share estimates, showing that there has been a clear decline in sentiment following these results. They also reconfirmed their revenue estimates, with the company predicted to grow at about the same rate as the wider industry. There was also a nice increase in the price target, with the analysts clearly feeling that the intrinsic value of the business is improving.

Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. We have forecasts for Orient Electric going out to 2027, and you can see them free on our platform here.

That said, it's still necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Orient Electric , and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.