Stock Analysis

Nitin Spinners (NSE:NITINSPIN) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

NSEI:NITINSPIN
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Nitin Spinners Limited (NSE:NITINSPIN) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

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What Is Nitin Spinners's Net Debt?

As you can see below, Nitin Spinners had ₹9.73b of debt at March 2021, down from ₹10.5b a year prior. Net debt is about the same, since the it doesn't have much cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:NITINSPIN Debt to Equity History September 22nd 2021

How Healthy Is Nitin Spinners' Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Nitin Spinners had liabilities of ₹4.76b due within a year, and liabilities of ₹6.37b falling due after that. Offsetting this, it had ₹8.48m in cash and ₹2.33b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₹8.79b.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of ₹10.9b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Nitin Spinners' use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Nitin Spinners has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 2.7 and its EBIT covered its interest expense 4.5 times. Taken together this implies that, while we wouldn't want to see debt levels rise, we think it can handle its current leverage. Pleasingly, Nitin Spinners is growing its EBIT faster than former Australian PM Bob Hawke downs a yard glass, boasting a 318% gain in the last twelve months. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Nitin Spinners's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, Nitin Spinners burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

Nitin Spinners's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and level of total liabilities definitely weigh on it, in our esteem. But the good news is it seems to be able to grow its EBIT with ease. Taking the abovementioned factors together we do think Nitin Spinners's debt poses some risks to the business. So while that leverage does boost returns on equity, we wouldn't really want to see it increase from here. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Nitin Spinners (of which 1 is potentially serious!) you should know about.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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