Stock Analysis

Does Nagreeka Exports (NSE:NAGREEKEXP) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

NSEI:NAGREEKEXP
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. As with many other companies Nagreeka Exports Limited (NSE:NAGREEKEXP) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Nagreeka Exports

What Is Nagreeka Exports's Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Nagreeka Exports had debt of ₹1.80b at the end of March 2023, a reduction from ₹1.92b over a year. Net debt is about the same, since the it doesn't have much cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:NAGREEKEXP Debt to Equity History June 3rd 2023

How Strong Is Nagreeka Exports' Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Nagreeka Exports had liabilities of ₹1.49b falling due within a year, and liabilities of ₹687.8m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₹19.2m and ₹245.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₹1.92b.

This deficit casts a shadow over the ₹578.4m company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Nagreeka Exports would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Nagreeka Exports shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (9.7), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 1.0 times the interest expense. The debt burden here is substantial. Worse, Nagreeka Exports's EBIT was down 48% over the last year. If earnings continue to follow that trajectory, paying off that debt load will be harder than convincing us to run a marathon in the rain. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Nagreeka Exports's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. Over the last three years, Nagreeka Exports saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

To be frank both Nagreeka Exports's EBIT growth rate and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. And furthermore, its interest cover also fails to instill confidence. Considering everything we've mentioned above, it's fair to say that Nagreeka Exports is carrying heavy debt load. If you harvest honey without a bee suit, you risk getting stung, so we'd probably stay away from this particular stock. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example Nagreeka Exports has 5 warning signs (and 4 which shouldn't be ignored) we think you should know about.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.