Stock Analysis

Indian Terrain Fashions Limited (NSE:INDTERRAIN) Soars 30% But It's A Story Of Risk Vs Reward

NSEI:INDTERRAIN
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Indian Terrain Fashions Limited (NSE:INDTERRAIN) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 30% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 36%.

Even after such a large jump in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Indian Terrain Fashions' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.7x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Luxury industry in India, where the median P/S ratio is around 1x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

See our latest analysis for Indian Terrain Fashions

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NSEI:INDTERRAIN Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry July 5th 2024

What Does Indian Terrain Fashions' Recent Performance Look Like?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Indian Terrain Fashions over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to put the disappointing revenue performance behind them over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from falling. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Indian Terrain Fashions, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Indian Terrain Fashions' is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 8.9% decrease to the company's top line. Even so, admirably revenue has lifted 114% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 13% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

In light of this, it's curious that Indian Terrain Fashions' P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.

The Final Word

Indian Terrain Fashions appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We didn't quite envision Indian Terrain Fashions' P/S sitting in line with the wider industry, considering the revenue growth over the last three-year is higher than the current industry outlook. It'd be fair to assume that potential risks the company faces could be the contributing factor to the lower than expected P/S. It appears some are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because the persistence of these recent medium-term conditions would normally provide a boost to the share price.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Indian Terrain Fashions (at least 1 which is significant), and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.