Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Himatsingka Seide (NSE:HIMATSEIDE) Is Using Debt Extensively

NSEI:HIMATSEIDE
Source: Shutterstock

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. Importantly, Himatsingka Seide Limited (NSE:HIMATSEIDE) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Himatsingka Seide

How Much Debt Does Himatsingka Seide Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2022 Himatsingka Seide had ₹29.0b of debt, an increase on ₹26.8b, over one year. However, it does have ₹1.35b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about ₹27.6b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NSEI:HIMATSEIDE Debt to Equity History December 28th 2022

How Healthy Is Himatsingka Seide's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Himatsingka Seide had liabilities of ₹23.0b due within a year, and liabilities of ₹18.4b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₹1.35b and ₹5.09b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by ₹35.0b.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the ₹8.06b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, Himatsingka Seide would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Himatsingka Seide shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (10.8), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 0.46 times the interest expense. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. Even worse, Himatsingka Seide saw its EBIT tank 76% over the last 12 months. If earnings continue to follow that trajectory, paying off that debt load will be harder than convincing us to run a marathon in the rain. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Himatsingka Seide's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, Himatsingka Seide generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 94% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.

Our View

To be frank both Himatsingka Seide's EBIT growth rate and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least it's pretty decent at converting EBIT to free cash flow; that's encouraging. After considering the datapoints discussed, we think Himatsingka Seide has too much debt. That sort of riskiness is ok for some, but it certainly doesn't float our boat. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Himatsingka Seide you should be aware of, and 1 of them doesn't sit too well with us.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Himatsingka Seide might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

Access Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.