Stock Analysis

Greenchef Appliances (NSE:GREENCHEF) Use Of Debt Could Be Considered Risky

NSEI:GREENCHEF
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Greenchef Appliances Limited (NSE:GREENCHEF) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Greenchef Appliances

How Much Debt Does Greenchef Appliances Carry?

As you can see below, at the end of March 2024, Greenchef Appliances had ₹1.21b of debt, up from ₹658.4m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it does have ₹411.4m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about ₹798.3m.

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NSEI:GREENCHEF Debt to Equity History June 12th 2024

A Look At Greenchef Appliances' Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Greenchef Appliances had liabilities of ₹1.47b due within 12 months and liabilities of ₹280.3m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of ₹411.4m and ₹950.9m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total ₹390.0m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit isn't so bad because Greenchef Appliances is worth ₹1.65b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Weak interest cover of 1.9 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 6.4 hit our confidence in Greenchef Appliances like a one-two punch to the gut. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. Even worse, Greenchef Appliances saw its EBIT tank 37% over the last 12 months. If earnings keep going like that over the long term, it has a snowball's chance in hell of paying off that debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But you can't view debt in total isolation; since Greenchef Appliances will need earnings to service that debt. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, Greenchef Appliances burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

To be frank both Greenchef Appliances's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its track record of (not) growing its EBIT make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. Having said that, its ability to handle its total liabilities isn't such a worry. Overall, it seems to us that Greenchef Appliances's balance sheet is really quite a risk to the business. For this reason we're pretty cautious about the stock, and we think shareholders should keep a close eye on its liquidity. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 5 warning signs for Greenchef Appliances you should be aware of, and 3 of them are a bit unpleasant.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.