Stock Analysis

Is Weakness In Dixon Technologies (India) Limited (NSE:DIXON) Stock A Sign That The Market Could be Wrong Given Its Strong Financial Prospects?

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NSEI:DIXON
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It is hard to get excited after looking at Dixon Technologies (India)'s (NSE:DIXON) recent performance, when its stock has declined 8.3% over the past three months. However, stock prices are usually driven by a company’s financial performance over the long term, which in this case looks quite promising. Specifically, we decided to study Dixon Technologies (India)'s ROE in this article.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors’ money. In short, ROE shows the profit each dollar generates with respect to its shareholder investments.

Our analysis indicates that DIXON is potentially overvalued!

How Is ROE Calculated?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Dixon Technologies (India) is:

21% = ₹2.3b ÷ ₹11b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2022).

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. So, this means that for every ₹1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of ₹0.21.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don’t share these attributes.

Dixon Technologies (India)'s Earnings Growth And 21% ROE

To start with, Dixon Technologies (India)'s ROE looks acceptable. Further, the company's ROE compares quite favorably to the industry average of 11%. Probably as a result of this, Dixon Technologies (India) was able to see an impressive net income growth of 30% over the last five years. However, there could also be other causes behind this growth. For instance, the company has a low payout ratio or is being managed efficiently.

As a next step, we compared Dixon Technologies (India)'s net income growth with the industry, and pleasingly, we found that the growth seen by the company is higher than the average industry growth of 7.4%.

past-earnings-growth
NSEI:DIXON Past Earnings Growth December 9th 2022

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. By doing so, they will have an idea if the stock is headed into clear blue waters or if swampy waters await. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Dixon Technologies (India) is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is Dixon Technologies (India) Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

Dixon Technologies (India)'s ' three-year median payout ratio is on the lower side at 3.4% implying that it is retaining a higher percentage (97%) of its profits. This suggests that the management is reinvesting most of the profits to grow the business as evidenced by the growth seen by the company.

Moreover, Dixon Technologies (India) is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of four years of paying a dividend. Looking at the current analyst consensus data, we can see that the company's future payout ratio is expected to rise to 4.4% over the next three years. Still, forecasts suggest that Dixon Technologies (India)'s future ROE will rise to 30% even though the the company's payout ratio is expected to rise. We presume that there could some other characteristics of the business that could be driving the anticipated growth in the company's ROE.

Summary

In total, we are pretty happy with Dixon Technologies (India)'s performance. In particular, it's great to see that the company is investing heavily into its business and along with a high rate of return, that has resulted in a sizeable growth in its earnings. The latest industry analyst forecasts show that the company is expected to maintain its current growth rate. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

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